"It really became clear that the people who do those things within the Russian system, even the ones who do TV production, had no idea what was going on until it already started happening," he said. The inputs are mostly coming from sycophants who don't want to get the boss mad,” Warner said.Ĭharap said Russia's messaging around the Ukraine invasion has been “haphazard." Mark Warner, D-Va., chairman of the Senate Intelligence Committee, said Monday. Putin’s circle of trust is shrinking rapidly, and that is likely limiting his ability to get good, impartial advice, Sen. “It’s pretty clear the nature of this operation was kept secret from all but a close handful of people,” Charap said. Hints that Russian leader Vladimir Putin kept his true plan for Ukraine mostly to himself have been trickling out on social media for days. Exhibit A: Putin’s announcement of the impending invasion lacked the usual luster of Kremlin propaganda events. In fact, all of Putin’s recent televised speeches have seen lower production quality, including odd camera angles, than Russia’s high-powered state propaganda studios normally produce, said Sam Charap, a senior political scientist at the RAND Corporation. So what happened? Experts across the national security space point to five reasons the invasion isn't going as well as the Kremlin apparently expected:ġ. Putin told basically no one-not even his generals-his true intentions. Moscow has been diplomatically isolated while Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy wages a fierce, popular resistance. Six days into a multi-pronged attack on Ukraine, Russian forces have failed to claim any major cities and have reportedly suffered heavy casualties.
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